Morgan Stanley called concerns about South Korean financial stocks "excessive". Morgan Stanley said that recent political developments have hit South Korean financial stocks particularly hard because people are worried that reform efforts may be delayed and the risk of tightening supervision.Guotai Junan: The rise of leading enterprises and the downward shift of costs are important features of the steel industry entering a new cycle. Guotai Junan issued a document saying that with the change of demand structure, the demand for plates has steadily increased, and the demand for high-end plates such as automobiles, household appliances, shipbuilding, offshore engineering and energy is strong. The added value and profit per ton of products brought by leading companies' active adjustment of product structure, accumulation of products, R&D drive, continuous capital expenditure and equipment investment have been significantly improved, gradually widening the gap with the industry average gross profit. When the industry is facing the marginal losses of most steel enterprises, leading companies still maintain a high profit level by relying on the cost advantages brought by product differences and management, and the rise and differentiation of industry leaders are emerging. On the other hand, with the gradual increase in the supply side and the difficulty in improving the demand side, iron ore has gradually entered a loose cycle, and the steel cost constraints are expected to gradually improve.CITIC Securities: The short-term copper price rebound has a foundation, and it pays attention to the allocation opportunities of the copper plate. CITIC Securities Research Report said that the recent TC negotiation results of copper concentrates, frequent domestic policy warm winds, and the off-season destocking of domestic stocks have been resonantly catalyzed, superimposed with the fall of the US dollar. We believe that the short-term copper price rebound has a foundation and the medium-term fundamental expectations are more solid. We predict that the copper price in the next quarter will run in the range of 9000-10000 USD/ton, which has strong upward elasticity in the short term. It is suggested to pay attention to the allocation opportunities of copper plate. It is suggested to comprehensively select stocks from the dimensions of segment valuation rationality, output growth next year and copper price elasticity.
Guotai Junan: It is suggested that the beauty care sector with product and channel changes and flexibility should be optimized from the bottom up. Guotai Junan said that after the pressure of consumption in 2022 and the destocking of consumers in 2023, the beauty consumption will return to the normal purchase cycle in 2024, and the industry prosperity will improve month-on-month, and the double-digit growth of online beauty will be achieved. However, after the channel dividend subsided, the platform traffic and price competition became fierce, and the brand differentiation further intensified. Relying on the product innovation and channel operation ability brought by organizational efficiency, the performance of domestic products in the head is still bright, and the rise of new domestic products has spread from beauty cosmetics to personal care. Looking forward to 2025, the market risk appetite will be significantly restored. Because of its many changes and the rising trend of domestic products as a whole, the American nursing sector has obvious growth attributes and significantly benefited from its style. Brand differentiation in the fundamental dimension has intensified, and it is suggested that the flexible target with product and channel changes should be optimized from bottom to top.CITIC Securities: It is expected that the scale of personal pension will grow steadily. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, on December 12, 2024, the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security and other departments jointly issued the Notice on the Full Implementation of Personal Pension System, and the personal pension system will be promoted to the whole country on December 15, with emphasis on product supply and collection conditions optimized. In terms of individual pension funds, 85 index funds were added. At present, the total number of personal pension products is 941, and the performance of most products is relatively stable. The personal pension system shoulders the important mission of perfecting the multi-level and multi-pillar pension insurance system and doing a good job in pension finance. It is expected that with the continuous optimization of system design, continuous enrichment of product supply and continuous improvement of service level, the scale of personal pension is expected to grow steadily, which will also help to better play the wealth management function of the capital market and build a sound policy system of "long money and long investment".After the release of the Bank of Japan's short-term report, the yen rose slightly.
Luxury car dealers "switch to" domestic brands, and the competition between new and old forces spread to the channel side. Recently, Beijing Huayang Aotong Automobile Sales Co., Ltd. (referred to as "Huayang Aotong") announced that "the company will no longer continue the distribution business of Audi brands, but will continue to engage in the maintenance business of Audi models". On December 12, the reporter went to Huayang Aotong in Laiguangying, Beijing. The above announcement was posted at the entrance, and the store has been replaced with the "AITO" logo. There is no Audi car in the store, and it has been replaced by two models for sale in the world. A luxury brand dealer who did not want to be named revealed to reporters that Huayang Aotong had indeed been cancelled by Audi, and Zhengzhou Zhongsheng Huidi Store was also withdrawn from the network with it, all because it switched to Huawei's channel network without permission. "The war between new forces and traditional car companies has burned from the product side to the channel side." According to Zhang Xiuyang, secretary-general of China Passenger Car Industry Alliance, the "price war" that lasted for nearly two years has made it difficult for car dealers who are in retail terminals and have been upside down all the year round, and their loyalty has also declined. At the same time, in the tide of the era of smart cars, the concept of consumption is changing rapidly, and the high-end electric vehicle brands in China are gradually winning the wide favor of the market and consumers. (Securities Daily)CICC: Cloud and terminal AI landing In 2025, the localization of semiconductors and components ushered in a new cycle. According to CICC's research report, in 2024, semiconductors and components as a whole were in the upward stage of prosperity. It is expected that inventory, supply and demand will stabilize in 2025, and AI cloud and terminal demand will land, and domestic elements will usher in a new cycle. It is expected that in 2025, the AI replacement tide is expected to accelerate the downstream demand growth of the semiconductor design sector. We are optimistic about the demand expansion of cloud and end-side computing chips driven by AI, and the alpha level of individual stocks is optimistic about the pull of product structure expansion on the performance of related companies, and it is suggested to pay attention to the investment opportunities brought by mergers and acquisitions for some tracks. It is expected that the supply and demand of chip manufacturing will approach a balance in 2025, and the capacity utilization rate will remain at a reasonable level; Among them, the research and development of advanced process manufacturing is expected to continue to advance, driving the development of equipment, parts, materials and design tools.CITIC Securities: Short-term white horse style may be dominated by stages due to compensatory growth and repair. CITIC Securities Research Report pointed out that looking forward to 2025, we expect that the market style will gradually switch from individual investors to institutional investors, and ETF will become an important configuration tool. We believe that the construction of ETF portfolio should mainly depend on the judgment of style rotation and timing. We believe that in the short term, Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party and the Central Economic Work Conference will once again confirm the policy inflection point, which is expected to boost institutional investors' risk appetite, and the white horse style may prevail in stages due to compensatory growth and repair. However, in the large-cycle environment, it is still unable to meet the conditions for the continued dominance of white horse stocks, and it is necessary to continue to observe the price signals and policies.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14